The decisions made by business leaders and investors during tough times determine their relative condition when things improve.
Decision makers need the proper tools to correctly balance survival and opportunism.
Making the right calls involves blocking out the noise and remembering that if a majority of the people were right, … a majority of the people would be rich.
“THIS TIME IT’S DIFFERENT!”
Trees don’t really grow to the sky and downturns eventually find some kind of equilibrium point. In times of great optimism and great pessimism we tend to lose sight of historical economic patterns and valuations.
Unfortunately, for many each time is the first time.
The buzzing background of the 24 hour news cycle only serves to make this worse. We will look at indicators that deliver perspective.
How high is too high?
The truth is that no investment is either good or bad. It is all a function of the price that you are buying or selling it at.
This kind of thinking is often ignored in a market frenzy.
It’s often tough to trust your instincts, focus on the historic patterns and not get swept up by all those talking heads.
As economist John Kenneth Galbraith once said “there are two kinds of forecasters, those that don’t know, and those that don’t know that they don’t know.”
Peter Ricchiuti (Ri-Chooty) is the business professor you WISHED you had back in college!
His humor and insight have earned him numerous teaching awards at Tulane University where he created and runs the nationally acclaimed Burkenroad Reports (www.burkenroad.org) student stock research program.
Peter is a graduate of Babson College and began his career with the investment firm of Kidder Peabody in Boston. He later managed Louisiana’s $3 billion investment portfolio while serving as the assistant state treasurer.
From Memphis to Mars (PA), Peter has addressed more than 1200 groups in 47 states and several countries. He has been featured in BARRON’S, Kiplinger’s, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. He also hosts a popular weekly business show on National Public Radio in New Orleans called “Out To Lunch.”
Peter is a husband, dad and author who has attended baseball games at all 30 current major league ballparks.
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