How could a once-obscure lending category unleash the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression? How did the effects of the US subprime mortgage crisis spread around the globe? Faulty reasoning and greed created an environment that led up to the crisis, and laxity allowed it to spread.
To avoid a recurrence, homeowners, investors, and policymakers would do well to examine not only specific missteps, but also the deeper forces behind the crisis, including homeowner psychology, antiregulatory sentiment, and the technology that facilitates complex global lending.
The US economy has started to grow again, but how and when will it fully recover? Everything about the worst recession since the Great Depression was out of the ordinary.
The same is proving true of the recovery. Consumer spending, saving habits, credit markets, the composition of the labor force, the nation’s fiscal health, global trade dynamics – all were deeply rattled by global financial and economic developments. Layoffs have slowed considerably, but how long before the economy starts creating jobs?
Major financial institutions are no longer on the brink of collapse, but when will banks loosen the purse strings enough to allow small businesses to expand and hire?
And with the economy still dependent on massive government spending, how can policymakers eventually bring down the federal deficit to avoid runaway inflation without sending the economy into another downturn?
Dr. Mark Zandii is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research.
Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s purchased in 2005.
Dr. Zandi is on the board of directors of MGIC, the nation’s largest private mortgage insurance company, and is the lead director of PolicyMap, a data visualization and analytics company, used by policymakers and commercial businesses.
He is a trusted adviser to policymakers and an influential source of economic analysis for businesses, journalists and the public. Dr. Zandi frequently testifies before Congress and conducts regular briefings on the economy for corporate boards, trade associations, and policymakers at all levels.
Dr. Mark Zandi is the author of Paying the Price: Ending the Great Recession and Beginning a New American Century, which provides an assessment of the monetary and fiscal policy response to the Great Recession. His other book, Financial Shock: A 360º Look at the Subprime Mortgage Implosion, and How to Avoid the Next Financial Crisis, is described by The New York Times as the “clearest guide” to the financial crisis. Dr. Zandi is host of the Inside Economics podcast.
Dr. Zandi earned his BS from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and his PhD at the University of Pennsylvania.
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